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The Map and the Territory 2.0 Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

Revised edition

Paperback (28 Oct 2014)

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Publisher's Synopsis

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. How had our models so utterly failed us?

Virtually every day, we make wagers on the future - but, even when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control, the maps by which we are steering are often out-of-date. The Map and the Territory is an important attempt to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies, offering a lucid and empirical grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.

About the Publisher

Penguin Books

The first ten paperback Penguin books appeared in 1935 costing 6d each (the price of a packet of cigarettes). Since then the Penguin list has developed enormously, but still aims to bring the best writing to the widest possible audience. Penguin Paperbacks now range from Booker Prize-winning contemporary authors, to mass market bestsellers, with successful history, biography and general non-fiction as well.

Book information

ISBN: 9780141978130
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Imprint: Penguin Books
Pub date:
Edition: Revised edition
DEWEY: 330.0112
DEWEY edition: 23
Language: English
Number of pages: 420
Weight: 326g
Height: 198mm
Width: 131mm
Spine width: 25mm