Publisher's Synopsis
Excerpt from A Simple Theory of Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure
Several years ago William Beaver published a Very interesting article reporting an empirical study of various financial ratios as predictors of failure.1 Using matched samples of failed firms versus non-failed firms, he found that several easily available financial ratios were good predictors of failure, while others, probably more widely used, were mediocre predictors.2 Specifically the criterion ratios cash flow/total assets, net income/total assets, total debt/total assets and particularly cash flow/total debt were good predictors of failure, the latter even up to five years before the event, while such widely used ratios as the current ratio were of only mediocre value until the final year before failure, and even then inferior to the.aforementioned ratios.
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