The Black Swan

The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Revised edition

Paperback (28 Feb 2008)

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Synopsis

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

Book information

ISBN: 9780141034591
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Imprint: Penguin Books
Pub date:
Edition: Revised edition
DEWEY: 003.54
DEWEY edition: 23
Language: English
Sales rank: 6989
Number of pages: xxxiii, 444
Weight: 350g
Height: 197mm
Width: 129mm
Spine width: 28mm